Sturgeon’s Law: Are You Not Entertained?

  1. My average utility of 1s is greater than 0s: Not entirely obvious because with low criticality it is likely I will enjoy all movies the same.
  2. 1s have lower diminishing returns than 0s: Slightly more compelling. With high criticality, I can enjoy a good movie even more when I watch it the 2nd, 3rd time, each time unpacking details I’d missed. An important quality of a 0 movie is its lack of uniqueness and layers, both of which bode terribly for the long run. If I sacrifice discernment for enjoyment, I quickly run into decaying returns and then probably need to start my discernment exercise from scratch anyway having lost all that time
  3. Sturgeon’s Law isn’t blind: There’s a difference between saying 10 out of 100 balls are black, and 1 out of 10 containers contains only black balls. In A, discernment is irrelevant, in B, discernment is everything. I find the container and then can switch everything off except attachment and whatever criticality I need to elevate it further.
  4. Sturgeon’s Law is fractal: Does Sturgeon’s Law hold within Sturgeon’s Law? Let’s say I find a 10% author, let’s call him Jolkien. Are 90% of his books crap? That’s the strong version. In the weak version, the % of crappy books lies between 0 and 90. This % defines when I can switch off discernment and to what degree. 10 out of 100 balls are black. 10 containers each contain 10 balls. 1 container contains 5 black. 1 contains 3. 1 contains 2. 7 contain 0.
  5. Your tastes stay consistent over time
  6. 1s would continue to be 1s without the presence of a few 0s here or there
  7. Containers and balls retain their original color over time
  8. New added balls follow the same ratio as the existing containers and pot
  9. There are infinite balls, practically

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A novel insightful exercise to determine the pragmatic difference in intellectual payoff between a novel insight and an obvious fact mistaken for novel insight.

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